R2 is one of our patrollers. He is so passionate about weather that in his spare time, prior to a storm, he studies several forecast models to create a personalized forecast for Monarch Ski Patrol. Now he brings that forecasts to you, the public. Delve into R2's unpredictable, feverish mind...if you dare.
Richard Rogers, R2
Welcome back after a brief pause in weather forecasting. Sometimes weather gets put on the back burner so other things that need to get done do just that, Git-r-dun. California has to much water, “ask and you shall receive!” How about the Oroville Dam in Cali., wasnt that something else? Its obvious, least to me, that this probably wont happen again if they will keep an eye on inflows and match the outflows to the inflow to maintain the resevoir level. Maybe inflows exceeded the max outflow…I’m no expert but its ever-so slightly important to keep an eye on the level of a large resevoir….just sayin…
On sunday night we saw a spat of snow. Some lucky looong weekend warriors were patient enough to reap the benefit of 2″ of new snow on a blue bird monday.
Digging around through the forecast process, it looks to me that we will have broken sky cover tuesday till mid day wednesday and then we can expect to see a few flakes here and there on wednesday afternoon-night. Thursday, 5-7AM, is when we see a brief but strong pulse of snow. This strong band may only last till late morning then taper off into friday mid-day. Another little band of snow swings through Friday morning. Snow totals by friday morning should be in the 2-4″ range. This is still in the making, the progression of models is showing maybe alittle more but as of now thats the range we are looking at for totals. Thurs. will be the storm day and thrusday afternoon will see the deepest accumulation.
Temperatures hover aorund 30-32F(highs) till mid-day Wednesday. Then rapid cooling into single digits into the weekend. As temps decrease winds will increase out of the WSW avg 30mph peak gusts in the mid 50s.
The river has been very rewarding in these times of spring-like weather. There is still PLENTY of soft snow here at Monarch Mountain for your skiing or riding pleasure. So, get on up here later this week and embrace the return of winter.
Also, looking for another storm to hit Colorado early next week. Tuesday-wednesday look like good days to ski next week.
The trouble with weather forecasting is that it’s right too often for us to ignore it and wrong too often for us to rely on it. ~Patrick Young